Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 4.629598 5.012889 5.427005 5.910120 6.461390 7.074605 7.813634
2025-04-06 3.919869 4.429239 5.017435 5.756141 6.672703 7.791674 9.292406
2025-04-13 3.487866 4.050357 4.728797 5.624755 6.804872 8.349916 10.607057
2025-04-20 3.204579 3.799798 4.542299 5.562903 6.975043 8.938185 12.036624
2025-04-27 3.061137 3.700488 4.523619 5.699451 7.407728 9.933842 14.268921
2025-05-04 2.941487 3.615674 4.507927 5.827136 7.831772 10.976278 16.847057
2025-05-11 2.792254 3.476470 4.401549 5.807001 8.021822 11.671944 19.010896
2025-05-18 2.654365 3.340926 4.286307 5.756978 8.150686 12.277799 21.184811
2025-05-25 2.497096 3.167561 4.103026 5.583625 8.052033 12.456683 22.510529
2025-06-01 2.371982 3.031632 3.963885 5.464677 8.027402 12.763263 24.231776
2025-06-08 2.294314 2.958280 3.910857 5.475602 8.225843 13.532739 27.400457
2025-06-15 2.249387 2.928927 3.920432 5.586874 8.615508 14.768479 32.459380
2025-06-22 2.135578 2.797151 3.772319 5.434395 8.518475 14.992917 34.835601
2025-06-29 2.032943 2.677955 3.638177 5.297412 8.440417 15.261543 37.623613
2025-07-06 1.943788 2.574394 3.522063 5.181331 8.388040 15.580405 40.858663
2025-07-13 1.875208 2.498452 3.444907 5.126673 8.451582 16.198960 45.827062
2025-07-20 1.848454 2.484504 3.465433 5.247261 8.893694 17.912242 57.638391
2025-07-27 1.821564 2.468638 3.481247 5.359859 9.336405 19.784476 73.628258
2025-08-03 1.771728 2.414453 3.430234 5.342113 9.485219 20.853339 87.074991
2025-08-10 1.720399 2.355669 3.368221 5.298010 9.567068 21.747134 101.639171
2025-08-17 1.652904 2.268680 3.254382 5.144984 9.371875 21.680195 107.886459
2025-08-24 1.597576 2.199286 3.167637 5.039812 9.281771 21.960439 118.915175
2025-08-31 1.564975 2.165160 3.139753 5.049478 9.476152 23.321899 148.211162